Good morning investors!

If this is your first time reading, welcome toย The Investorโ€™s Edgeย โ€” a thriving community ofย over 24,000 subscribersย striving to be better investors with an edge in the market.

Every weekend we publish โ€œThe Weekly Wrap-Upโ€ โ€” your ticket to being well informed and staying ahead in the investment game!

This report is designed to help investors of all skill levels break down important stories/topics within the stock market. And best of all, we cut through all of the BS and give you exactly what you need to know in easy to digest, bite sized pieces of content.

Grab your coffee and letโ€™s dive in.

Market Talk

The major indexes all ended the week green, with all three making new record highs.

3 Stories Moving the Market

These are some of the biggest stories from the second half of the week that had an influence on market action.

Trump spars with Powell over renovation costs during Fed visit, backs off firing threats

President Trump visited the Federal Reserve on Thursday and publicly clashed with Chair Jerome Powell over renovation costs. Trump claimed the project had topped $3.1 billion, while Powell pushed back, saying the figure included a separate building finished years earlier. Trump again called for rate cuts but backed off prior threats to fire Powell, framing the renovation as symbolic of broader mismanagement.

๐Ÿ”‘ย Key Points

  • Renovation Tensions: Trump blasted the Fedโ€™s building project as a $3.1B overreach, while Powell insisted the figure is inflated.

  • Rate-Cut Demands: Trump renewed his push for rate cuts, arguing theyโ€™d slash interest costs on the $1.1T U.S. debt burden.

  • Firing Threat Fades: Trump called it โ€œhighly unlikelyโ€ heโ€™d remove Powell, unless evidence of fraud emerges.

  • Political Optics: GOP allies like Bill Pulte and Russ Vought are using the project to escalate criticism of Powellโ€™s leadership.

  • Rare Fed Visit: Trump became just the fourth president to tour the Fed, and the first while publicly pushing for policy changes.

๐Ÿ‘€ย What You Need to Know

Trumpโ€™s visit adds pressure on Powell ahead of the Fedโ€™s next meeting. His allies are escalating criticism over cost overruns while floating names like Bessent as potential replacements. Rate cuts are expected in September, but any delay could fuel more public attacks. Powellโ€™s ability to hold the line on policy may erode if political pressure keeps rising. Markets will be watching both the next dot plot and whoโ€™s standing next to Trump.

๐Ÿ”ย Edge Takeaway: Trumpโ€™s visit to the Fed was a political setup meant to paint Powell as wasteful and unwilling to act, while building a narrative that blames him for high interest costs. But Powellโ€ฆupgrade to Edge+ to read the Full Edge Takeaway.

Google Cloud Nabs $1.2B Deal With ServiceNow

Alphabetโ€™s $GOOGL ( โ–ฒ 4.21% ) Google Cloud has reportedly secured a $1.2 billion, five-year deal with enterprise software leader ServiceNow, expanding its push into cloud infrastructure. ServiceNow didnโ€™t disclose contract specifics in its filing, but Bloomberg confirmed the figure. The agreement adds to Google Cloudโ€™s momentum after recent wins like Salesforce and OpenAI, reinforcing its growing presence in the enterprise cloud market.

๐Ÿ”‘ย Key Points

  • $1.2B Deal: ServiceNow will spend $1.2B over 5 years with Google Cloud, according to Bloomberg sources citing undisclosed details.

  • Broader Commitments: The company reported $4.8B in total cloud commitments through 2030 but did not name individual vendors.

  • Momentum Building: Google Cloud is stacking major enterprise wins, including Salesforce and OpenAI, as its AI investments bear fruit.

  • Revenue Surge: Google Cloud grew revenue 32% YoY to $13.6B in Q2, solidifying it as Alphabetโ€™s fastest-growing segment.

  • Key Ties: ServiceNowโ€™s Chief Product Officer is a former Google Cloud exec, potentially aiding alignment and strategy fit.

๐Ÿ‘€ย What You Need to Know

This deal reinforces Google Cloudโ€™s growing credibility in the enterprise market, especially as AI becomes central to corporate infrastructure strategies. While Amazon and Microsoft still dominate the space, Googleโ€™s accelerated customer wins and strong Q2 growth show itโ€™s closing the gap. Investors should watch for sustained growth and signs of operating leverage as Google Cloud scales.

See our full breakdown of Alphabetโ€™s earnings in this weekโ€™s Earnings Recap

๐Ÿ”ย Edge Takeaway: Alphabetโ€™s Q2 earnings confirmed that Google Cloud is no longer just a growth story, itโ€™sโ€ฆupgrade to Edge+ to read the Full Edge Takeaway.

๐Ÿ“š Edge-ucation: What is cloud computing (and why it matters)?

Cloud computing lets companies access computing power, storage, and software over the internet, without owning physical servers. Instead of building data centers, businesses โ€œrentโ€ what they need from providers like Google Cloud, AWS, or Microsoft Azure.

  • Scalable: Companies can scale up or down based on demand, avoiding heavy upfront costs.

  • Subscription-Based: Cloud services typically operate on a pay-as-you-go or multi-year contract model.

  • Always On: Apps and services stay live and backed up across global server networks.

  • AI-Ready: Cloud is the foundation for running advanced tools like machine learning, LLMs, and data analytics.

Cloud isnโ€™t just tech, itโ€™s infrastructure. Companies like Google grow recurring revenue by becoming the digital backbone of the modern economy.

UnitedHealth confirms DOJ probes into Medicare Advantage billing practices

UnitedHealth Group $UNH ( โ–ฒ 0.84% ) disclosed itโ€™s under civil and criminal investigation by the Department of Justice over Medicare Advantage billing. The company says it is cooperating and expects to complete an internal third-party review by Q3. This comes amid a turbulent year marked by a CEO exit, rising medical costs, and intensifying scrutiny of its largest business segment. Shares are down -45% YTD.

๐Ÿ”‘ย Key Points

  • DOJ Probes Admitted: UnitedHealth confirmed both civil and criminal investigations tied to Medicare Advantage billing practices.

  • Doctor Pressure Allegations: The DOJ interviewed physicians on whether they were encouraged to overstate diagnoses.

  • Internal Review in Motion: A third-party audit of business practices is underway and due by the end of Q3.

  • Core Revenue Risk: The Medicare & Retirement segment generated $139B in 2023, nearly 45% of company revenue.

  • Previous Legal Win Cited: A special master previously recommended dismissal of a $2B DOJ case due to lack of evidence.

๐Ÿ‘€ย What You Need to Know

This probe directly threatens UnitedHealthโ€™s most profitable business line and raises broader questions about the Medicare Advantage model. Managementโ€™s about-face from denial to cooperation could pressure credibility heading into earnings. With over 40% of revenue tied to this unit, regulatory or legal fallout could damage margins and growth expectations. July 29โ€™s earnings call will be critical to assess tone, disclosures, and risk posture.

๐Ÿ” Edge Takeaway: UNH is already down 45% this year, but pricing still reflects margin stability. Next weekโ€™s earnings report and/or call need to.โ€ฆupgrade to Edge+ to read the Full Edge Takeaway.

๐Ÿ“Š Edge Score: UnitedHealth scores an 80, with strong valuation and dividend metrics, but ongoing DOJ fraud investigations cast a shadow over an otherwise compelling fundamental profile.

๐Ÿ’ช CMG Strength: The ratio is still holding above the mean, but momentum is fading and strength hasnโ€™t translated into sustained buying as price continues to drift sideways, now near the lows.

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In Other News

In this section, we'll be curating a selection of news headlines we think you'll find interesting. If a topic catches your eye, click the provided links to read more about it.

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Edge+ Posts of the Week

We continue to push out more and more content every week to give investors that edge. Here are the posts Investorโ€™s Edge+ subscribers received this week.

The Edge Report

Mondays are for the investors. Every Monday morning we share exactly what weโ€™re watching in the week ahead, how weโ€™re positioning, and even share a sneak peek into our systems and models. This week we discussed the upcoming earnings and what we were watching. See the latest full report here:

Weekly Options Recap

This report is a breakdown of every options trade we made this weekโ€”what we opened, what we closed, and how our open trades are performing. Each edition gives you full transparency on our strategy, including entry points, premiums collected or paid, trade rationale, and risk/reward setups. See this weekโ€™s recap:

Earnings Recap

Every week during earnings season is extremely busy for us here at the Edge as we dive into over 100 reports and provide our members with top tier breakdowns and insights. This week we saw earnings from Alphabet, Tesla, Coca-Cola, and more. See this weekโ€™s recap:

The Week Ahead

Next week has the makings to bring a ton of fireworks as we get the latest rate decision, a slew of earnings, and key inflation and labor market data. Should be fun!

Earnings Reports

It will be the biggest week of the earnings season and we will busy providing breakdowns as each report is released. Here is the list of names we will be covering:

  • Monday 7/28: --

  • Tuesday 7/29: Procter & Gamble, UnitedHealth, Merck, Starbucks, American Tower, UPS, and PayPal

  • Wednesday 7/30: Microsoft, Meta, Qualcomm, Lam Research, and VICI

  • Thursday 7/31: Apple, Amazon, Mastercard, AbbVie, and Coinbase

  • Friday 8/1: ExxonMobil, Chevron, and Enbridge

Here is the full calendar of scheduled earnings releases:

Source: Earnings Whispers

Economic Reports

Next weekโ€™s calendar is jam packed with economic releases, with three major market moving events in the PCE report, nonfarm payrolls, and of course the latest interest rate decision from the Fed.

While those are guaranteed to cause volatility in the markets, we also get initial jobless claims, JOLTS job openings, ADP employment, several housing reports, and the latest GDP data.

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Hereโ€™s what youโ€™re missing in the Discord:

๐Ÿ—จ๏ธ Chat rooms: Investors discussed the the huge moves from mega cap tech. Members also dove into the number of jobs reports and shared their views on the overall economy.

๐Ÿ“Š Earnings / Economic reports: No more waiting for our newsletters to hit your inboxes - see earnings results and economic data as they are released. And more importantly, get our reactions and insights immediately.

๐Ÿšจ Trade Alerts: Chris and Mark shared several trades, including additions to the portfolio and trades that set up their portfolios for the week.

Join us on Discord and let's level up our investing game together. The future of trading awaitsโ€”and you're invited to be a part of it! ๐ŸŒŸ

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Thank you for reading this edition of the Weekly Wrap-Up. Have a great weekend!

Until next time investors!

Mark & Chris

The Investorโ€™s Edge

Disclosure

This is not investing advice. It is very important that you do your own research and make investments based on your own personal circumstances, preferences, goals and risk tolerance.

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