Weekly Wrap-Up - October 12th, 2024

Strong earnings and hotter than expected inflation

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Good morning investors!

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Every weekend we publish “The Weekly Wrap-Up” — your ticket to being well informed and staying ahead in the investment game!

This report is designed to help investors of all skill levels break down important stories/topics within the stock market. And best of all, we cut through all of the BS and give you exactly what you need to know in easy to digest, bite sized pieces of content.

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Market Talk

It was green across the board this week in the markets, with both the S&P 500 and Dow Jones making new all-time highs.

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3 Stories Moving the Market

These are some of the biggest stories from the second half of the week that had an influence on market action.

Tesla shares drop after Cybercab robotaxi reveal fails to impress

Tesla shares dropped 7% after the company's "We, Robot" event, where CEO Elon Musk unveiled the Cybercab, a two-seater self-driving concept car. The vehicle, lacking a steering wheel and pedals, failed to impress investors.

Musk said production is targeted before 2027 with a price under $30,000 but provided no details on manufacturing. He also introduced a robovan for up to 20 passengers but gave few specifics.

Additionally, Musk promised "unsupervised" Full Self-Driving (FSD) for Tesla’s Model 3 and Model Y in Texas and California next year, though FSD still requires human oversight.

Musk also highlighted progress on Tesla's humanoid robot, Optimus, which could be priced between $20,000 and $30,000.

👉 EDGE TAKEAWAY: Tesla's recent "We, Robot" event is a classic example of a "buy the rumor, sell the news" scenario. Investors…upgrade to Edge+ to read the Full Edge Takeaway.

Two key reports show inflation is running hot

Despite two hotter-than-expected inflation reports this week, markets remained unfazed.

The consumer price index (CPI) showed a monthly increase of 0.2%, slightly above forecasts, while the 12-month CPI rate dropped to 2.4%, though it exceeded expectations. The core CPI, which excludes food and energy, rose 0.3%, in line with predictions, but the 12-month core rate unexpectedly ticked up to 3.3%.

Meanwhile, the producer price index (PPI) for final demand was flat, below estimates, though revisions lifted the 12-month headline PPI inflation rate to 1.8%.

Despite these higher-than-anticipated figures, investors shrugged off the data, as they had with the strong September jobs report.

📚 EDGE-UCATION: What is the difference between the CPI and PPI?

The Consumer Price Index (CPI) and the Producer Price Index (PPI) are both key indicators used to measure inflation, but they track different stages of the pricing process.

  1. CPI (Consumer Price Index):

    • Measures the average change over time in the prices paid by consumers for goods and services.

    • It reflects the cost of living for households by tracking price changes in a basket of goods, including food, housing, clothing, transportation, and healthcare.

    • CPI is often used to gauge consumer inflation and its impact on the purchasing power of consumers.

  2. PPI (Producer Price Index):

    • Measures the average change over time in the prices received by producers for their goods and services.

    • It focuses on the selling prices at the wholesale or production level before goods reach the consumer.

    • PPI is a leading indicator of inflation because price increases at the production level can eventually lead to higher consumer prices (CPI).

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AMD launches AI chip to rival Nvidia’s Blackwell

AMD launched its new AI chip, the Instinct MI325X, targeting Nvidia’s dominance in data center GPUs.

Set to begin production by the end of 2024, AMD aims to provide a competitive alternative to Nvidia's high-margin GPUs, which have been in high demand for advanced AI applications like OpenAI’s ChatGPT.

Nvidia currently controls the majority of the data center GPU market, but AMD, historically second in this space, is looking to capture a significant share of the market, projected to be worth $500 billion by 2028.

While AMD didn’t announce major new customers, it has previously disclosed partnerships with Meta, Microsoft, and OpenAI. Pricing for the new chip has not been revealed.

In Other News

In this section, we'll be curating a selection of news headlines we think you'll find interesting. If a topic catches your eye, click the provided links to read more about it.

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IE+ Posts of the Week

We continue to push out more and more content every week to give investors that edge. Here are the posts Investor’s Edge+ subscribers received this week.

Edge Report

Mondays are for the investors. Every Monday morning we share exactly what we’re watching in the week ahead, how we’re positioning, and even share a sneak peek into our systems and models. This week we discussed the upcoming inflation reports and how we were preparing for the start of earnings season. See the latest full report here:

Portfolio Update - October

Every month we share a full access look into our portfolios, including holdings, performance, activity and our watchlists for the upcoming month. You can see both of our portfolios here:

Stock Deep Dive - Alphabet (Google)

Our Deep Dive focused on Alphabet this week. We not only broke down the financials of the world’s second largest technology company by revenue, but we also shared our valuation models, price targets for 2024, and put the stock through our new Edge Scoring System. You can see the full analysis here:

The Week Ahead

With the S&P 500 trading at all-time highs, the earnings reports in the week ahead have the potential to make or break the market.

Earnings Reports

It’s officially earnings season and next week is jam pack full of major earnings. Here is the list of names we will be covering next week:

  • Monday 10/14: --

  • Tuesday 10/15: UnitedHealth, Johnson & Johnson, Bank of America, Goldman Sachs, Charles Schwab

  • Wednesday 10/16: Abbott Labs, Morgan Stanley, and Prologis

  • Thursday 10/17: Taiwan Semiconductor and Netflix

  • Friday 10/18: Procter & Gamble

Here is the full calendar of scheduled earnings releases:

Source: Earnings Whispers

Economic Reports

Retail sales will be the report in focus next week. But there will also be initial jobless claims, housing data, two key manufacturing reports, and a number of speeches from Fed members.

Want more? Check out our other resources

If you haven’t done so, check out the social media pages of our collaborators and give them a follow:

Mark (Dividend Seeker)

Chris (CMG Venture)

Thank you for reading this edition of the Weekly Wrap-Up. Have a great weekend!

Until next time investors!

Mark & Chris

The Investor’s Edge

Disclosure

This is not investing advice. It is very important that you do your own research and make investments based on your own personal circumstances, preferences, goals and risk tolerance.

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