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Good morning investors!

If this is your first time reading, welcome to The Investor’s Edge — a thriving community of over 28,000 subscribers striving to be better investors with an edge in the market.

Every weekend we publish “The Weekly Wrap-Up” — your ticket to being well informed and staying ahead in the investment game!

This report is designed to help investors of all skill levels break down important stories/topics within the stock market. And best of all, we cut through all of the BS and give you exactly what you need to know in easy to digest, bite sized pieces of content.

Grab your coffee and let’s dive in.

Market Talk

It was a mixed week for stocks, with the overall indexes ending relatively flat. Meanwhile, treasury yields surged on inflation news and oil is creeping higher again.

3 Stories Moving the Market

These are some of the biggest stories from the second half of the week that had an influence on market action.

Trump and Xi Reach Deals on Planes, Oil, and Engines but Chip Sales Stall

Trump completed a two-day state visit to Beijing this week, meeting with Chinese President Xi Jinping in the first U.S. presidential trip to China in nearly a decade. The two leaders agreed to frame their relationship as constructive and stable, with China committing to buy American planes, engines, oil, and agricultural goods. Chip sales remain stuck, no formal joint statement was issued, and markets sold off on the lack of specifics coming out of the summit.

🔑 Key Points

  • Boeing Order Disappoints: China agreed to buy 200 Boeing jets, well below the 500 planes markets anticipated.

  • GE Engines Included: China agreed to purchase up to 450 GE Aerospace engines tied to the Boeing commitment.

  • Chips Still Blocked: U.S. approved H200 chip sales to ten Chinese firms, but Beijing told its companies not to buy.

  • Oil and Ag Deals: China committed to buy U.S. crude oil and double-digit billions in agricultural products annually.

  • Taiwan Warning Issued: Xi warned Trump that mishandling Taiwan could put the entire U.S.-China relationship in jeopardy.

👀 What You Need to Know

Markets went into this summit expecting blockbuster announcements and came away with pledges that still need formal contracts. The Boeing and GE engine numbers sound large, but China has a long history of announcing aircraft orders at diplomatic summits that take years to convert into actual deliveries. The chip situation is the clearest signal from Beijing that it is prioritizing domestic suppliers over U.S. technology, which is a real problem for Nvidia regardless of what Washington approves.

🔐 Edge Takeaway: Nvidia enters earnings next week at ~$229, up approximately 40% off the early April tariff lows, trading at ~27x forward earnings, and…upgrade to Edge+ to read the Full Edge Takeaway.

CPI and PPI Both Hit Multi-Year Highs, Raising the Stakes for Fed Policy

The BLS released back-to-back inflation reports this week covering April, with both the consumer price index and the producer price index printing at their highest levels in several years. Energy prices, driven by the ongoing conflict in the Middle East, were the largest single contributor to both prints, though broad-based pressure across services, food, and upstream pipeline costs reinforced that inflation is not contained to one category.

🔑 Key Points

  • Headline CPI: Annual consumer inflation rose 3.8% in April, the highest reading since May 2023.

  • Core Stays Sticky: Core CPI rose 0.4% monthly and 2.8% annually, above the Fed's 2% target.

  • PPI Shocks Markets: PPI surged 1.4% monthly and 6.0% annually, Core PPI rose 1.0% monthly and 5.2% YoY, all exceeding the forecasts.

  • Services Lead PPI: Final demand services drove nearly 60% of the monthly PPI increase, rising 1.2%.

  • Real Wages Fall: Real average hourly wages declined 0.5% monthly and 0.3% annually in April.

👀 What You Need to Know

Both reports came in much hotter than expected this week. Energy prices from the Iran conflict are driving the big headline numbers, but food, shelter, and services all moved higher too, meaning this is not a one-category problem. The producer price data is especially worth watching because rising costs at the wholesale level tend to flow through to consumers over time, meaning future CPI prints could stay elevated even if oil stabilizes. With rate cuts effectively off the table and a new Fed chair taking over, the path forward for markets is uncertain and inflation will be a major story heading into the second half of the year.

🔐 Edge Takeaway: The inflation story heading into the second half of 2026 is the most important macro setup investors need to understand right now. CPI…upgrade to Edge+ to read the Full Edge Takeaway.

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AI Chipmaker Cerebras Goes Public in the Biggest U.S. Tech IPO Since Uber

Cerebras Systems, an artificial intelligence chip designer that competes with Nvidia, priced its IPO at $185 per share on Wednesday and began trading Thursday on the Nasdaq under the ticker $CBRS ( ▼ 6.68% ). The company raised $5.55B, the largest U.S. tech IPO in nearly seven years, driven by demand that was more than 20 times oversubscribed. Shares opened at $350, peaked at $386, and closed the day up 68% at $311, giving the company a market cap approaching $70 billion.

🔑 Key Points

  • Revenue Growing Fast: Cerebras posted $510M in 2025 revenue, up 76% from $290M in 2024.

  • Profit Needs Context: Headline net income of $238M included a one-time $363M accounting gain.

  • OpenAI Anchor Deal: A multi-year agreement covering 750 megawatts of inference capacity is worth over $20B.

  • Customer Concentration Risk: Two Abu Dhabi-linked entities and OpenAI together account for roughly 86% of revenue.

  • Warrants Complicate Returns: OpenAI received warrants for 33M shares, worth roughly half the deal's gross profit.

👀 What You Need to Know

Cerebras makes chips specifically built to run AI models after they are trained, a process called inference, and its technology sits at the center of one of the fastest-growing areas in tech. The IPO story is compelling, but the headline profit number is misleading because the underlying operating business is still losing money. Nearly all of its revenue comes from just a few customers, which means any change in those relationships hits the whole business hard.

🔐 Edge Takeaway: Cerebras closed its first day at $311, down 16% from its $386 intraday peak, and ended the week around $295. Historically, tech IPOs that open…upgrade to Edge+ to read the Full Edge Takeaway.

📚 Edge-ucation: What is an IPO?

An IPO, or initial public offering, is the moment a private company sells shares to the public for the first time. Before an IPO, only founders, employees, and private investors own a piece of the business. Going public opens that ownership up to anyone with a brokerage account, and gives the company a way to raise capital to fund its growth.

  • What It Actually Is: A company selling shares to public investors for the first time, raising money to fund operations or expansion.

  • The Roadshow: Before pricing, company executives pitch the business to large institutional investors to gauge demand and set the offering price.

  • The First Day Pop: Strong demand often pushes the stock well above the IPO price on opening day, meaning public buyers pay more than institutional investors did.

  • The Lockup Period: Insiders cannot sell their shares for a set period after the IPO, typically 90-180 days, which can create selling pressure when that window opens.

Understanding how IPOs work helps investors separate the excitement of a public debut from whether the stock is actually worth buying at the price the market is offering.

In Other News

In this section, we'll be curating a selection of news headlines we think you'll find interesting. If a topic catches your eye, click the provided links to read more about it.

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Edge+ Posts of the Week

We continue to push out more and more content every week to give investors that edge. Here are the posts Investor’s Edge+ subscribers received this week.

The Edge Report

Mondays are for the investors. Every Monday morning we share exactly what we’re watching in the week ahead, how we’re positioning, and even share a sneak peek into our systems and models. This week we discussed the massive run in tech and AI related stocks of late, as well as the upcoming Trump-Xi meeting, and the two major inflation reports on the calendar. See the latest full report here:

Edge Quick Picks

Every month we break down 5 stocks that we believe are attractive from a valuation and momentum perspective right now. Here’s a look at the 5 stocks we are buying in May:

The Week Ahead

After last week’s visit to China, all eyes will be on Nvidia’s earnings report on Wednesday to see if China demand for its chips can fuel to the AI trade. We’ll also wait for more clues from the admin on the outcome of the Trump-Xi meeting, as well as what we can expect next in Iran.

Earnings Reports

Nvidia will be the main report to watch next week, but we also get several reports from some of the largest retailers in the US. Here is the full calendar of scheduled earnings releases:

Overall, 5 of the names we cover are set to report:

  • Monday 5/4: --

  • Tuesday 5/5: Home Depot

  • Wednesday 5/6: Nvidia, Lowe’s, and Target

  • Thursday 5/7: Walmart

  • Friday 5/8: --

Economic Reports

Next week is all about the housing market with 4 reports on the docket (NAHB, pending home sales, building permits, and housing starts).

We also get the meeting minutes from the last Fed meeting, jobless claims, and consumer sentiment.

Here is the full calendar of events we will be watching:

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Thank you for reading this edition of the Weekly Wrap-Up. Have a great weekend!

Until next time investors!

Mark & Chris

The Investor’s Edge

Disclosure

This is not investing advice. It is very important that you do your own research and make investments based on your own personal circumstances, preferences, goals and risk tolerance.

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