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Good morning investors!

If this is your first time reading, welcome to The Stock Investor’s Edge — a thriving community of over 30,000 subscribers striving to be better investors with an edge in the market.

Every weekend we publish “The Weekly Wrap-Up” — your ticket to being well informed and staying ahead in the investment game!

This report is designed to help investors of all skill levels break down important stories/topics within the stock market. And best of all, we cut through all of the BS and give you exactly what you need to know in easy to digest, bite sized pieces of content.

Grab your coffee and let’s dive in.

Market Talk

Markets clawed back the early-week losses on the news of a US/Iran peace deal (again-maybe for real this time?) and a strong tailwind from the SpaceX IPO, with all three major indexes closing in the green.

3 Stories Moving the Market

These are some of the biggest stories from the second half of the week that had an influence on market action.

SpaceX Goes Public in the Largest IPO in Stock Market History

SpaceX began trading on the Nasdaq under the ticker $SPCX ( ▼ 4.51% ) on Friday, raising $75 billion in the largest initial public offering ever completed. The IPO priced Thursday night at $135 per share and opened Friday morning at $150, with shares running as high as $176.52 intraday before closing at $160.11. The listing also pushed Elon Musk's net worth past $1 trillion, making him the first person in history to reach that threshold.

🔑 Key Points

  • IPO Price: SpaceX priced at $135 per share, valuing the company at $1.77 trillion.

  • Opening Trade: SPCX opened at $150, an 11% premium above the offering price.

  • Intraday High: Shares hit $176.52, briefly putting SpaceX's market cap near $2.21 trillion.

  • Record Demand: The IPO attracted more than $250 billion in total orders from investors worldwide.

  • Musk Wealth: At the session high, Musk's net worth reached approximately $1.18 trillion.

👀 What You Need to Know

SpaceX is now a publicly traded company, which means everyday investors can buy shares for the first time. The stock had a strong first day, but the company has never turned a profit and lost over $4 billion last year on roughly $19 billion in revenue. A $1.77 trillion valuation for a money-losing company is a big bet on future growth. Expect the stock to remain volatile as investors continue to figure out what it is actually worth.

Did you buy SpaceX stock on IPO day?

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🔐 Edge Takeaway: SPCX closed +27% above its IPO price on its first day with a float of ~5% of total outstanding shares, and what you saw yesterday was…upgrade to Edge+ to read the Full Edge Takeaway.

Inflation Surged in May as Energy Prices Hit a Three-Year High

Two major inflation reports were released this week covering May, painting a consistent picture of rising prices driven by energy costs. Consumer prices rose at their fastest annual pace since early 2023, while wholesale prices hit their highest annual rate since late 2022. Both reports arrive one week before the Federal Reserve meets to decide on interest rates.

🔑 Key Points

  • Headline CPI Jumps: Consumer prices rose 4.2% over the past year, the fastest annual pace since April 2023.

  • Energy Dominates: The energy category accounted for over 60% of the monthly consumer price increase in May.

  • Gasoline Up Big: Gasoline prices rose 7% in May alone and are up 40.5% over the past 12 months.

  • Core Stays Cooler: Prices excluding food and energy rose just 0.2% in May and 2.9% over the past year.

  • Wholesale Prices Hot: Producer prices rose 1.1% in May and 6.5% over the past year, beating forecasts of 0.7%.

👀 What You Need to Know

The headline inflation numbers look alarming, but almost all of the pressure is coming from one place: energy. Gasoline is driving costs higher at both the consumer level and across the entire supply chain, largely tied to the ongoing US conflict with Iran disrupting oil markets. The silver lining is that prices for most other goods and services remain relatively contained. The concern going forward is whether sustained high energy prices begin bleeding into other parts of the economy, which would make inflation a much harder problem to solve.

🔐 Edge Takeaway: Markets are treating this week's inflation data as manageable because Wall Street lives and dies by core CPI, and at 2.9% YoY, core gives the Fed permission to stay patient. The problem is that…upgrade to Edge+ to read the Full Edge Takeaway.

📚 Edge-ucation: What is Guidance?

Guidance is a company's own forward-looking forecast for revenue and earnings, shared during earnings calls each quarter. Management sets a range for what they expect the business to deliver, giving investors a benchmark to measure future results against.

  • Company forecast: Management provides expected revenue and earnings ranges that analysts and investors use to set expectations going forward.

  • Consensus estimates: Analysts aggregate their models into a consensus figure, which often differs from what the company itself guided.

  • Beat and raise: When a company beats prior guidance and raises future guidance, it signals accelerating momentum and is the most bullish outcome.

  • Buy side vs. sell side: Published consensus reflects sell side models, but institutions carry higher internal targets. A stock can beat consensus and still disappoint.

Understanding guidance helps investors recognize why a strong quarter can still send a stock lower. The forward outlook moves stocks more than the results themselves.

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Oracle beats estimates, but capex guidance and a $40B capital raise caused the stock to fall

Oracle $ORCL ( ▼ 2.14% ) reported a record quarter with beats on both EPS and revenue, though the stock sold off sharply on massive capex and capital raise disclosures. The stock was down roughly -14% this week.

  • EPS: $2.11 vs. $1.96 est.

  • Revenue: $19.18B vs. $19.10B est.

  • Cloud Infrastructure (OCI): Revenue surged +93% YoY to $5.8B, driven by AI workload demand

  • Total Cloud Revenue: +47% YoY to $9.9B for the quarter

  • Backlog (RPO): Contracted future revenue hit a record $638B (+363% YoY)

  • Capex Concern: FY2026 capex came in at $55.7B, generating negative free cash flow of $23.7B

  • FY2027 Guidance: Revenue target held at $90B; capex guided up to $95B with a new $40B capital raise planned

For full breakdowns of all earnings, including graphics and all key takeaways. head to the earnings channel in our Discord.

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🔐 Edge Takeaway: Oracle delivered a genuinely impressive quarter on the surface. OCI grew 93% and a $638B RPO backlog are impressive, but the market sold the stock off 14% because…upgrade to Edge+ to read the Full Edge Takeaway.

In Other News

In this section, we'll be curating a selection of news headlines we think you'll find interesting. If a topic catches your eye, click the provided links to read more about it.

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Edge+ Posts of the Week

We continue to push out more and more content every week to give investors that edge. Here are the posts Investor’s Edge+ subscribers received this week.

The Edge Report

Mondays are for the investors. Every Monday morning we share exactly what we’re watching in the week ahead, how we’re positioning, and even share a sneak peek into our systems and models. This week we discussed the massive sell-off last Friday, the SpaceX IPO, the upcoming inflation reports, and our thoughts on the state of the overall market. See the latest full report here:

Edge Quick Picks

Every month we break down 5 stocks that we believe are attractive from a valuation and momentum perspective right now. Here’s a look at the 5 stocks we are buying in June:

The Week Ahead

Next week we will get the first full trading week for SpaceX and get to see how markets react, plus more news regarding a potential deal between US/Iran, but all eyes will be on the Fed and how Warsh handles his first meeting as Fed chair.

Earnings Reports

Earnings season is coming to an end but there are still a handful of important names left to report. Here is the full calendar of scheduled earnings releases:

Calendar from the Stock Investor’s Edge website

There are no stocks we cover scheduled to report next week.

Economic Reports

Next week will be all about the Fed as we get the latest interest rate decision, as well as Kevin Warsh’s first press conference since becoming the Fed chair.

We also get retail sales, initial jobless claims, several housing reports, and manufacturing data.

Here is the full calendar of events we will be watching:

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Thank you for reading this edition of the Weekly Wrap-Up. Have a great weekend!

Until next time investors!

Mark & Chris

The Investor’s Edge

Disclosure

This is not investing advice. It is very important that you do your own research and make investments based on your own personal circumstances, preferences, goals and risk tolerance.

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