In partnership with

Good morning investors!

If this is your first time reading, welcome to The Investor’s Edge — a thriving community of over 27,000 subscribers striving to be better investors with an edge in the market.

Every weekend we publish “The Weekly Wrap-Up” — your ticket to being well informed and staying ahead in the investment game!

This report is designed to help investors of all skill levels break down important stories/topics within the stock market. And best of all, we cut through all of the BS and give you exactly what you need to know in easy to digest, bite sized pieces of content.

Grab your coffee and let’s dive in.

Market Talk

It was a mixed week for markets after we saw a ton of volatility due to earnings, Fed rate and nomination news, tariff headlines, and more.

3 Stories Moving the Market

These are some of the biggest stories from the second half of the week that had an influence on market action.

Fed Holds Rates Steady, Trump Nominates Kevin Warsh as Next Fed Chair

The Federal Reserve paused its rate-cut cycle this week, holding policy steady as inflation remains above target and economic growth stays firm. Shortly after, President Trump nominated Kevin Warsh to succeed Jerome Powell as Fed chair, adding a leadership transition to an already sensitive moment for policy. Markets reacted calmly, reflecting expectations for near-term continuity despite rising political pressure.

🔑 Key Points

  • Rates on hold: The Fed kept rates at 3.5%-3.75%, ending three straight cuts as growth improved and labor conditions stabilized.

  • Shift in language: Officials dropped wording that favored labor risks, signaling less urgency to cut further.

  • Warsh nominated: Trump tapped Kevin Warsh to replace Powell in May, pending Senate confirmation.

  • Independence concerns: DOJ scrutiny of Powell and White House criticism continue to weigh on confidence in Fed autonomy.

  • Limited easing priced: Markets expect no more than two cuts in 2026, keeping policy expectations restrained.

👀 What You Need to Know

Warsh’s nomination is the bigger market story because it raises the stakes around Fed independence and how policy gets made over the next year. The rate hold was expected, and it mainly signals the Fed wants more proof inflation is cooling before cutting again. The real swing factor is confirmation and credibility, a smooth process keeps markets focused on data, a messy one can inject volatility into rates, banks, and the dollar.

🔐 Edge Takeaway: The Fed’s pause signals confidence that growth is strong enough to absorb higher rates. Powell repeatedly stressed that the economy is growing at a solid pace, labor conditions have stabilized, and inflation is still “somewhat elevated” enough to justify patience. But Warsh’s nomination introduces a…upgrade to Edge+ to read the Full Edge Takeaway.

Netflix posts Q4 earnings beat but guidance and Warner deal weigh on the stock

Microsoft $MSFT ( ▲ 0.77% ) posted a strong Q2 beat, but weaker than expected Azure guidance and OpenAI backlog concentration weighed on sentiment. The stock was -7.3% this week.

  • EPS: $4.14 vs $3.91 est.

  • Revenue: $81.27B vs $80.31B est. 

  • Azure growth: Azure and other cloud services revenue grew +39% YoY. 

  • Microsoft Cloud: Revenue +26% YoY to $51.5B. 

  • Intelligent Cloud: Revenue +29% YoY to $32.9B. 

  • Productivity: Revenue +16% YoY to $34.1B. 

  • Backlog: Commercial RPO +110% YoY to $625B, 45% of RPO tied to OpenAI.

  • Capital returns: Dividends and buybacks totaled $12.7B, up +32% YoY. 

  • Guidance: Q3 revenue guided ~$80.7B to $81.8B, Azure growth seen 37%-38% as capacity constrained.

🔐 Edge Takeaway: Microsoft’s quarter was very strong, with revenue +17% YoY, EPS +28% and Azure +39%, but the stock move reflects forward concerns tied to guidance and concentration risk. Management…upgrade to Edge+ to read the Full Edge Takeaway.

Investor-ready updates, by voice

High-stakes communications need precision. Wispr Flow turns speech into polished, publishable writing you can paste into investor updates, earnings notes, board recaps, and executive summaries. Speak constraints, numbers, and context and Flow will remove filler, fix punctuation, format lists, and preserve tone so your messages are clear and confident. Use saved templates for recurring financial formats and create consistent reports with less editing. Works across Mac, Windows, and iPhone. Try Wispr Flow for finance.

Q4 Earnings Season: This Week’s Roundup

Several major technology and payments companies reported earnings this week, with strong results across large-cap tech and continued resilience in consumer spending trends.

Apple $AAPL ( ▲ 2.46% ) delivered a record quarter driven by iPhone strength and continued Services growth.

  • EPS: $2.84 vs. $2.67 est.

  • Revenue: $143.8B vs. $138.5B est.

  • Highlights: Revenue +12% YoY, iPhone revenue +23% YoY, Services revenue +14% YoY, gross margin 45.9%, China revenue +38% YoY, installed base >2.5B devices, $32B returned via dividends and buybacks.

Meta Platforms $META ( ▼ 3.35% ) posted strong top-line growth with accelerating ad demand and higher spending tied to AI infrastructure.

  • EPS: $8.88 vs. $8.21 est.

  • Revenue: $59.9B vs. $58.5B est.

  • Highlights: Revenue +24% YoY, ad impressions +18% YoY, price per ad +6% YoY, operating margin 41%, costs +40% YoY, capex outlook increased for AI infrastructure, daily active users 3.58B.

Tesla $TSLA ( ▼ 3.74% ) beat expectations but showed continued pressure on automotive volumes and profitability.

  • EPS: $0.50 vs. $0.45 est.

  • Revenue: $24.9B vs. $24.8B est.

  • Highlights: Revenue -3% YoY, automotive gross margin ~20.1%, operating margin ~8.2%, vehicle deliveries flat YoY, energy generation and storage revenue growth, capex ~$20B+, cash and investments ~$29B.

Visa $V ( ▼ 0.05% ) delivered a solid quarter supported by steady consumer spending and cross-border recovery.

  • EPS: $3.17 vs. $3.14 est.

  • Revenue: $10.90B vs. $10.69B est.

  • Highlights: Revenue +11% YoY, payment volume +8% YoY, processed transactions +9% YoY, cross-border volume +16% YoY, value-added services revenue +28%, operating margin ~67%.

Mastercard $MA ( ▲ 0.06% ) posted strong profit growth with continued strength in transaction volumes and services revenue.

  • EPS: $4.76 vs. $4.25 est.

  • Revenue: $8.81B vs. $8.78B est.

  • Highlights: Revenue +15% YoY, gross dollar volume +9% YoY, cross-border volume +18% YoY, value-added services growth double digits, operating margin ~59%, workforce reduction ~4%.

For full breakdowns of these earnings, including graphics and all key takeaways. head to the earnings channel in our Discord.

🔐 Edge Takeaway: This week’s earnings showed that price action continues to be driven by how results line up with valuation and forward expectations. Meta…upgrade to Edge+ to read the Full Edge Takeaway.

📚 Edge-ucation: What is Guidance?

Guidance is management’s forward-looking outlook on the business, typically covering revenue, earnings, margins, or cash flow for upcoming quarters or the full year. It reflects what leadership expects based on current demand, costs, pricing, and macro conditions. Markets treat guidance as a window into the future, not a recap of the past.

  • Forward expectations: Guidance outlines where management believes results are headed, not where they have been.

  • Valuation anchor: Stocks are priced on future earnings and cash flow, so guidance often has more influence than the reported quarter.

  • Confidence signal: Stable or improving guidance suggests visibility and control, while cuts signal uncertainty or pressure.

  • Execution test: Over time, credibility is built by meeting or beating guidance, and lost quickly when misses pile up.

In earnings season, guidance is often the deciding factor behind stock moves because it shapes how investors model growth, margins, and valuation well beyond the current quarter.

In Other News

In this section, we'll be curating a selection of news headlines we think you'll find interesting. If a topic catches your eye, click the provided links to read more about it.

Unlock the Edge+ Experience

Like the content you have seen so far? Edge+ members not only get additional content in these recaps, but they also get expert market analysis straight to their inbox multiple times per week.

Upgrade Options:

Ultimate Edge - Get access to all premium tiers with one subscription

Edge+ - Comprehensive market insights and analysis delivered multiple times weekly.

Options Edge+ - top-tier options trade ideas with detailed risk-reward analysis

Quick Picks - 5 high-conviction stock picks each month (just $12/month or $120/year)

As we like to say, price is what you pay, value is what you get. Trust us when we say you’re not getting this much value for the price anywhere else on the Internet. Choose the tier that fits your goals and join the Edge community today!

Edge+ Posts of the Week

We continue to push out more and more content every week to give investors that edge. Here are the posts Investor’s Edge+ subscribers received this week.

The Edge Report

Mondays are for the investors. Every Monday morning we share exactly what we’re watching in the week ahead, how we’re positioning, and even share a sneak peek into our systems and models. This week we discussed the upcoming Fed decision, MAG7 earnings, and the possibility of another government shutdown. See the latest full report here:

The Week Ahead

Earnings season continues while the market will get some insights in the labor market.

Earnings Reports

Earnings season really heats up next week as 25% of the S&P 500 is scheduled to report, including 2 more MAG7 names. Here is the full calendar of scheduled earnings releases:

Source: Earnings Whispers

Overall, 14 of the names we cover are set to report:

  • Monday 2/2: Palantir and Disney

  • Tuesday 2/3: AMD, Pepsico, Merck, PayPal, and Chipotle

  • Wednesday 2/4: Alphabet, Eli Lilly, Qualcomm, AbbVie, and Uber

  • Thursday 2/5: Amazon and IREN

  • Friday 2/6: --

Economic Reports

Next week’s focus will be the labor market, with nonfarm payolls, unemployment data, ADP employment, JOLTs job openings, and initial jobless claims all on the docket.

We also get PMI data and consumer sentiment sprinkled in throughout the week.

Here is the full calendar of events we will be watching:

The Investor’s Edge Discord is a HUGE benefit of being a subscriber - don’t miss out, it’s FREE!

If you are only reading the newsletter, you are only getting a fraction of the benefits of being an Edge subscriber.

Our Discord server is tailor-made for investors like you who want to dive deeper into stocks, share insights, and engage directly with us. And it’s completely free!

Here’s what you’re missing in the Discord:

🗨️ Chat rooms: Investors discussed the the huge moves from mega cap tech. Members also dove into the number of jobs reports and shared their views on the overall economy.

📊 Earnings / Economic reports: No more waiting for our newsletters to hit your inboxes - see earnings results and economic data as they are released. And more importantly, get our reactions and insights immediately.

🚨 Trade Alerts: Chris and Mark shared several trades, including additions to the portfolio and trades that set up their portfolios for the week.

Join us on Discord and let's level up our investing game together. The future of trading awaits—and you're invited to be a part of it! 🌟

Want more? Check out our other resources

If you haven’t done so, check out the social media pages of our collaborators and give them a follow:

Mark (Dividend Seeker)

Chris (CMG Venture)

Thank you for reading this edition of the Weekly Wrap-Up. Have a great weekend!

Until next time investors!

Mark & Chris

The Investor’s Edge

Disclosure

This is not investing advice. It is very important that you do your own research and make investments based on your own personal circumstances, preferences, goals and risk tolerance.

Reply

Avatar

or to participate

More From Edge

No posts found