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Good morning investors!

If this is your first time reading, welcome to The Investor’s Edge — a thriving community of over 27,000 subscribers striving to be better investors with an edge in the market.

Every weekend we publish “The Weekly Wrap-Up” — your ticket to being well informed and staying ahead in the investment game!

This report is designed to help investors of all skill levels break down important stories/topics within the stock market. And best of all, we cut through all of the BS and give you exactly what you need to know in easy to digest, bite sized pieces of content.

Grab your coffee and let’s dive in.

Market Talk

After a volatile start to the week, markets recovered most of their losses but all 3 major indexes still finished the week slightly lower.

3 Stories Moving the Market

These are some of the biggest stories from the second half of the week that had an influence on market action.

Trump Policy Headlines Drive Volatility… Again

Markets were whipped around again this week as Trump policy headlines drove sharp reversals across equities, rates, and cyclicals. Threatened EU tariffs tied to Greenland sent stocks lower, only to be reversed by a Davos speech ruling out military action and hinting at a deal framework. China trade pessimism, a housing executive order, and a missed credit card cap deadline added to the volatility.

🔑 Key Points

  • EU tariff threat: Trump threatened 10% tariffs on EU countries opposing his Greenland push, triggering an immediate risk-off move across global equities.

  • Davos reversal: A Davos speech walking back military action in Greenland and signaling diplomatic progress sparked a sharp relief rally in stocks.

  • China trade setback: Comments from US officials suggesting a trade deal remains unlikely reignited concerns and pushed markets lower again.

  • Greenland framework: Headlines around a Greenland deal “framework” revived optimism, despite no clarity on sovereignty, enforcement, or timelines.

  • Credit cap misses: The administration’s 10% credit card cap deadline passed without action, underscoring the gap between rhetoric and implementation.

👀 What You Need to Know

This week showed how fast markets are being forced to process policy shifts in real time. Tariff threats drove the initial selloff over the long weekend, but Davos comments, China trade headlines, and a Greenland framework followed on Wednesday, whipsawing markets. This kind of sequencing leaves little room for conviction to build. When policy narratives change so quickly, liquidity thins, moves overshoot, and price action becomes reactive instead of forward looking.

🔐 Edge Takeaway: This week was another exhausting one as the market was forced to process four contradictory policy signals inside a single trading window, creating sharp swings that punished anyone chasing price. What actually worked was patience and having a plan in place before the week started, which is why we provide clear levels and expectations in the Edge Report and Weekend Charts that allow members to sit calmly through the noise without forcing trades. Overall the market followed a familiar pattern,…upgrade to Edge+ to read the Full Edge Takeaway.

Netflix posts Q4 earnings beat but guidance and Warner deal weigh on the stock

Netflix $NFLX ( ▲ 1.14% ) beat Q4 expectations but issued weaker-than-expected guidance, pushing the stock down ~5% this week.

  • EPS: $0.56 vs $0.55 est.

  • Revenue: $12.05B vs $11.97B est.

  • Paid members: Exceeded 325M globally in Q4.

  • Warner deal: Acquisition amended to all-cash at $27.75 per share.

  • Ads revenue: 2025 ads exceeded $1.5B, expected to roughly double in 2026.

  • Capital return: $2.1B repurchased in Q4, $8.0B authorization remaining.

  • Free cash flow: +36% YoY to $1.87B despite higher content and marketing spend.

  • Q1 guidance: EPS $0.76 vs $0.81, revenue $12.16B vs $12.20B, margin 32.1% vs 34.4%.

  • FY26 guidance: Revenue $50.7B-$51.7B vs $50.96B, margin 31.5% vs 32.4%, FCF $11.0B vs $11.9B.

🔐 Edge Takeaway: Netflix’s Q4 results were strong on the surface, with revenue +17.6% YoY, EPS +31.1% YoY, and paid memberships surpassing 325M, but the stock reaction…upgrade to Edge+ to read the Full Edge Takeaway.

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Q4 Earnings Season: This Week’s Roundup

Several major companies spanning consumer staples, healthcare, technology, and real estate reported earnings this week, with some stocks showing notable post-earnings reactions to the results.

Procter & Gamble $PG ( ▲ 1.56% ) delivered a mixed report with an EPS beat but revenue and volumes under pressure.

  • EPS: $1.88 vs. $1.87 est.

  • Revenue: $22.21B vs. $22.30B est.

  • Highlights: Organic sales 0%, net sales +1% YoY, volumes -1% YoY, beauty organic sales +4%, gross margin 52.8%, FY26 core EPS guidance reaffirmed, $4.8B returned via dividends and buybacks.

Johnson & Johnson $JNJ ( ▲ 0.63% ) topped expectations with solid sales growth across pharma and devices.

  • EPS: $2.46 vs. $2.46 est.

  • Revenue: $24.56B vs. $24.15B est.

  • Highlights: Sales +9.1% YoY, pharma +11.5% YoY, MedTech +7.2% YoY, adjusted EPS +20% YoY, FY26 sales guide $100.0B–$101.0B, adjusted EPS midpoint $11.53.

Intel $INTC ( ▼ 3.11% ) delivered a beat in Q4 but issued much weaker than expected near-term guidance.

  • EPS: $0.15 vs. $0.09 est.

  • Revenue: $13.70B vs. $13.41B est.

  • Highlights: Revenue -4% YoY, Data Center and AI +9% YoY, client computing -8% YoY, gross margin 46.3%, Q1 revenue guide $12.2B-$13.2B, Q1 EPS $0.00.

Abbott Laboratories $ABT ( ▼ 0.06% ) reported mixed results, with earnings largely in line but top-line weakness and guidance weighing on shares.

  • EPS: $1.50 vs $1.50 est.

  • Revenue: $11.46B vs. $11.80B est.

  • Highlights: Organic sales +3.8% YoY, diagnostics -2.5% YoY, nutrition +1.2% YoY, medical devices +11% YoY, FY26 EPS guide $5.55-$5.80, organic growth 6.5%-7.5%.

Prologis $PLD ( ▲ 2.35% ) showed resilience in industrial real estate fundamentals, with solid FFO and leasing activity.

  • FFO: $1.44 vs $1.44 est.

  • Revenue: $2.25B vs $2.17B est.

  • Highlights: Occupancy 95.3%, same-store NOI +6.5%, net effective rent change +27%, FY26 core FFO guide $5.55-$5.65, leverage 4.2x net debt to EBITDA.

🔐 Edge Takeaway: Two weeks into earnings season and we are already getting a decent picture for Q4. Even though only about 7% of the S&P 500 has reported,…upgrade to Edge+ to read the Full Edge Takeaway.

📚 Edge-ucation: What is Guidance?

Guidance is management’s forward-looking outlook on the business, typically covering revenue, earnings, margins, or cash flow for upcoming quarters or the full year. It reflects what leadership expects based on current demand, costs, pricing, and macro conditions. Markets treat guidance as a window into the future, not a recap of the past.

  • Forward expectations: Guidance outlines where management believes results are headed, not where they have been.

  • Valuation anchor: Stocks are priced on future earnings and cash flow, so guidance often has more influence than the reported quarter.

  • Confidence signal: Stable or improving guidance suggests visibility and control, while cuts signal uncertainty or pressure.

  • Execution test: Over time, credibility is built by meeting or beating guidance, and lost quickly when misses pile up.

In earnings season, guidance is often the deciding factor behind stock moves because it shapes how investors model growth, margins, and valuation well beyond the current quarter.

In Other News

In this section, we'll be curating a selection of news headlines we think you'll find interesting. If a topic catches your eye, click the provided links to read more about it.

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Edge+ Posts of the Week

We continue to push out more and more content every week to give investors that edge. Here are the posts Investor’s Edge+ subscribers received this week.

The Edge Report

Mondays are for the investors. Every Monday morning we share exactly what we’re watching in the week ahead, how we’re positioning, and even share a sneak peek into our systems and models. This week we discussed tariffs, inflation, earnings, and the meeting in Davos. See the latest full report here:

The Week Ahead

Earnings season is in full swing and the Fed makes its latest rate decision.

Earnings Reports

Earnings season really heats up next week with 4 of the MAG7 names reporting, as well as a number of other major stocks. Here is the full calendar of scheduled earnings releases:

Source: Earnings Whispers

Overall, 17 of the names we cover are set to report:

  • Monday 1/26: --

  • Tuesday 1/27: UnitedHealth, UPS, and General Motors

  • Wednesday 1/28: Microsoft, Meta, Tesla, IBM, Lam Research, and Starbucks

  • Thursday 1/29: Apple, Visa, Mastercard, Lockheed Martin, and L3Harris

  • Friday 1/30: Exxon Mobil, Chevron, and Verizon

Economic Reports

Next week is all about the Fed as the latest interest rate decision will be made and we get comments from Jerome Powell.

Outside of that, the week is relatively calm with only jobless claims and a few smaller economic reports on the docket.

Here is the full calendar of events we will be watching:

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Thank you for reading this edition of the Weekly Wrap-Up. Have a great weekend!

Until next time investors!

Mark & Chris

The Investor’s Edge

Disclosure

This is not investing advice. It is very important that you do your own research and make investments based on your own personal circumstances, preferences, goals and risk tolerance.

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