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- Mid-Week Wrap-Up - November 20th, 2024
Mid-Week Wrap-Up - November 20th, 2024
Retailers may be raising prices again
Good morning investors!
If this is your first time reading, welcome to The Investor’s Edge — a thriving community of over 20,000 subscribers striving to be better investors with an edge in the market.
Every Wednesday we publish “The Mid-Week Wrap-Up” — your ticket to being well informed and staying ahead in the investment game!
This report is designed to help investors of all skill levels break down important stories/topics within the stock market. And best of all, we cut through all of the BS and give you exactly what you need to know in easy to digest, bite sized pieces of content.
This article is designed to truly give you that EDGE in the day ahead!
Grab your afternoon pick me up and let’s dive in.
Market Talk
Markets are mixed to start the week, though the Nasdaq is higher as investors front run tonight’s Nvidia’s earnings.
3 Stories Moving the Market
These are some of the biggest stories so far this week that are having an influence on market action.
Walmart, Lowe's among latest companies to warn Trump tariffs could raise product costs
Walmart and Lowe’s highlighted potential challenges from President-elect Donald Trump’s proposed tariffs, with Walmart warning of likely higher consumer prices and Lowe’s expressing caution about increased costs.
Walmart's CFO noted the impact of a potential 60% tax on Chinese goods and 10%-20% tariffs on other imports, while Lowe’s took a wait-and-see approach.
Both companies reflected broader consumer struggles with high inflation and elevated interest rates—Walmart emphasized resilient but food-focused spending, while Lowe’s pointed to delayed home-improvement projects due to high borrowing costs.
Trump’s nomination of a tariff-supporting Commerce Secretary and UBS estimates of an 8% price increase from a 20% tariff add to concerns. While markets remain upbeat following the election, tariffs risk reigniting inflation and dampening consumer and market sentiment.
👉 EDGE ALERT: The market's post-election optimism may face a stark reality check if…upgrade to Edge+ to read the full Edge Alert.
Tesla stock pops after report Trump wants to relax U.S. self-driving rules
Tesla shares have surged another 5% this week after reports suggested that President-elect Donald Trump's transition team plans to prioritize creating a federal framework to regulate self-driving vehicles.
This potential regulation would benefit Tesla significantly, as the company has long aimed to develop autonomous vehicles and a robotaxi fleet but has yet to achieve fully unsupervised self-driving technology.
The announcement follows Tesla CEO Elon Musk’s close ties to Trump, who recently appointed Musk to lead the newly formed Department of Government Efficiency, aimed at reducing bureaucracy and relaxing regulations. The regulatory push could accelerate Tesla's plans to deploy its "Full Self-Driving" (FSD) technology and new autonomous vehicle concepts, such as the "Cybercab" robotaxi.
Meanwhile, competitors like ride-hailing companies Uber and Lyft saw their stocks decline due to concerns over Tesla’s potential disruption of the autonomous ride-hailing market. Google’s Waymo, which has already launched self-driving cars, is also another company to watch on this news.
📚 EDGE-UCATION: What are self-driving vehicles?
Self-driving vehicles, also referred to as autonomous vehicles (AVs), are vehicles equipped with technology that allows them to navigate and operate without direct human input. They rely on a combination of sensors, cameras, artificial intelligence (AI), and advanced software to detect their surroundings, make decisions, and drive.
Tesla's Full Self-Driving (FSD) system is a driver-assistance technology designed to allow Tesla vehicles to autonomously perform various driving tasks, such as navigating highways, detecting stop signs, changing lanes, parking, and recognizing traffic signals. Currently, Tesla's FSD is not fully autonomous; it operates as a supervised driver-assistance system, meaning a human driver must remain behind the wheel, ready to take control if necessary.
Key Features of Self-Driving Vehicles:
Autonomous Navigation: Vehicles can move from point A to point B without human input, using AI and GPS.
Sensors and Cameras: Radar, lidar, cameras, and ultrasonic sensors detect obstacles, traffic, pedestrians, and road markings.
Machine Learning: AI processes the data from sensors to make real-time decisions about speed, braking, lane changes, and more.
Connectivity: Some vehicles use cloud connectivity to update maps, share traffic data, and optimize routes.
Levels of Autonomy:
The Society of Automotive Engineers (SAE) defines autonomy in six levels:
Level 0: No automation (human driver fully controls the car).
Level 1: Basic driver assistance, like cruise control.
Level 2: Partial automation, where the vehicle can steer, accelerate, and brake, but the driver must supervise (e.g., Tesla Autopilot).
Level 3: Conditional automation, where the vehicle handles driving in specific conditions, but a driver must take over when required.
Level 4: High automation, where the car can drive itself in most situations but may need human assistance in unusual conditions.
Level 5: Full automation, where no human intervention is required under any conditions.
Tesla's FSD aims to achieve Level 4 or 5 autonomy, but as of now, it operates at Level 2 or Level 3 in limited situations. Other companies like Waymo and Cruise have already demonstrated Level 4 capabilities in some environments.
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Target reported mixed Q3 2024 earnings, with revenue narrowly missing expectations and EPS falling significantly below estimates due to cost pressures and a challenging retail environment.
The company achieved a net income of $854 million, or $1.85 per share, compared to $971 million, or $2.10 per share, in Q3 2023. Total revenue increased by 1% year-over-year to $25.67 billion, driven by 0.3% comparable sales growth and strong performance in digital channels.
Digital revenue surged 11% YoY, contributing $4.7 billion, while store-originated sales dipped by 1%. Operating income declined 11% to $1.2 billion due to higher fulfillment costs and increased SG&A expenses, which grew by 3%. Same-store sales rose 0.3%, supported by a 2.4% increase in guest traffic, while beauty and essentials categories showed notable strength.
For Q4, Target forecasts flat comparable sales and GAAP and adjusted EPS between $1.85 and $2.45. Full-year 2024 EPS guidance has been adjusted to a range of $8.30 to $8.90.
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Here’s a look at Target’s Edge Score - today’s price drop made valuations look very enticing though slowing growth projections over the next few years hurt the overall score:
In Other News
In this section we'll be curating a selection of news headlines we think you'll find interesting. If a topic catches your eye, click the provided links to read more about it.
Nvidia drops on report overheating issue could delay new Blackwell AI servers
Walmart hikes its outlook again as shoppers spend more outside the grocery aisles
Lowe’s beats on earnings and hikes guidance, but still expects sales to fall this year
Mike Tyson, Jake Paul fight was the most-streamed sporting event ever, Netflix says
Delta Predicts 2025 Growth as High-End Travel Fuels Airline Revenue
Comcast to spin off cable networks as subscribers flee the bundle
Ford, facing economic headwinds and weak EV sales, to cut 4,000 jobs in Europe
Super Micro shares soar 31% after company names new auditor to help keep Nasdaq listing
MicroStrategy increases note sales to $2.6B for Bitcoin purchases
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The Second Half
There’s still a few key earnings to watch this week as well as some important economic data, but let’s be honest, tonight’s earnings report from Nvidia will be the major catalyst for the rest of the week.
Earnings Reports
On top of Nvidia’s earnings, we will be watching Palo Alto and Deere earnings to end the week.
Here is the calendar of earnings releases scheduled for the rest of the week:
Source: Earnings Whisper
Economic Reports
Although guaranteed to be overshadowed by Nvidia’s earnings, there are several key economic reports to watch over the next two days, including PMI data, existing home sales, initial jobless claims and consumer sentiment.
Here is the full calendar of events scheduled for the remainder of the week:
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Thank you for reading this edition of the Mid-Week Wrap-Up.
Until next time investors!
Mark & Chris
The Investor’s Edge
Disclosure
This is not investing advice. It is very important that you do your own research and make investments based on your own personal circumstances, preferences, goals and risk tolerance.
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