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- Mid-Week Wrap-Up - November 13th, 2024
Mid-Week Wrap-Up - November 13th, 2024
CPI shows inflation may be stickier than previously thought
Good morning investors!
If this is your first time reading, welcome to The Investor’s Edge — a thriving community of over 20,000 subscribers striving to be better investors with an edge in the market.
Every Wednesday we publish “The Mid-Week Wrap-Up” — your ticket to being well informed and staying ahead in the investment game!
This report is designed to help investors of all skill levels break down important stories/topics within the stock market. And best of all, we cut through all of the BS and give you exactly what you need to know in easy to digest, bite sized pieces of content.
This article is designed to truly give you that EDGE in the day ahead!
Grab your afternoon pick me up and let’s dive in.
Market Talk
Markets are relatively flat to start the week, though treasury yields and Bitcoin continue to surge higher following the election.
3 Stories Moving the Market
These are some of the biggest stories so far this week that are having an influence on market action.
Annual inflation rate hit 2.6% in October, meeting expectations
Inflation rose in October, aligning with Wall Street expectations, as the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased 0.2% for the month and 2.6% annually, up 0.2 percentage points from September. Core CPI, excluding food and energy, rose 0.3% monthly and 3.3% yearly, also meeting forecasts.
Energy costs were flat for the month and down 4.9% year-over-year, while food prices rose 0.2% monthly and 2.1% annually. Shelter costs, which make up one-third of the CPI, increased 0.4% in October, doubling September's gain and up 4.9% annually, contributing more than half of the total CPI rise.
Other notable changes included a 2.7% monthly increase in used vehicle costs, a 3.2% rise in airline fares, and a 6.4% drop in egg prices, though eggs remain 30.4% higher year-over-year. Inflation-adjusted hourly earnings rose 0.1% for the month and 1.4% annually.
The inflation data moves further from the Federal Reserve's 2% target, potentially complicating monetary policy decisions as a new administration takes office in January.
👉 EDGE ALERT: October's inflation data underscores growing concerns about rising inflationary pressures and add to the growing risk of…upgrade to Edge+ to read the full Edge Alert.
Bitcoin pushes past $90k for the first time ever
Bitcoin has crossed $90,000, reaching a peak of $91,000 this morning, up 11% in a day and now just over 10% shy of $100,000.
The cryptocurrency has surged over 30% since Trump’s presidential victory on Nov. 5, amid a broader rally in crypto and stock markets.
Shares of Coinbase have jumped 75% since the election, closing at $324.24 on Nov. 11 after a 20% single-day gain. U.S.-based crypto miners like Marathon Digital saw nearly 30% gains on Nov. 11, with other firms, including CleanSpark and Hut 8, up over 25%.
Meanwhile, the S&P 500 has risen 4.25% since election day, hitting a record high above $6,000 on Nov. 11.
📚 EDGE-UCATION: What is Bitcoin - simplified?
Bitcoin is a decentralized digital currency created in 2008 by an unknown person or group using the name Satoshi Nakamoto. It was introduced as a way to send money directly between people without needing banks or governments.
Key Features of Bitcoin:
Decentralized: Bitcoin isn’t controlled by any bank or government. Instead, it runs on a network of computers worldwide.
Blockchain Technology: All Bitcoin transactions are recorded on a public digital ledger called the blockchain, which is secure and tamper-proof.
Limited Supply: Only 21 million Bitcoins will ever exist, making it scarce and valuable.
Mining: New Bitcoins are created by miners, who use computers to solve complex puzzles that validate transactions. Miners earn Bitcoins as a reward.
Anonymity and Transparency: Bitcoin transactions are public but not tied to real-world identities, making them private yet trackable.
Digital and Global: Bitcoin exists only online and can be sent anywhere in the world without banks or middlemen.
Volatile Value: Bitcoin’s price changes quickly due to market demand, making it both a risky investment and a potential high-reward asset.
Uses:
Payments: Used to buy goods or services where accepted.
Investment: Seen as "digital gold" for long-term savings.
Trading: Popular for making money through price fluctuations.
How It Works:
Wallets: Users store Bitcoin in digital wallets, which have private and public keys to send, receive, and secure the currency.
Transactions: When Bitcoin is sent, the network verifies the transaction and adds it to the blockchain.
Ownership: To spend Bitcoin, you need a private key, proving you own it.
Benefits:
No need for banks or intermediaries.
Lower fees than traditional systems.
Works anywhere in the world.
Secure and reliable.
Challenges:
Mining uses a lot of energy.
Prices can be unpredictable.
Mistakes in transactions can’t be reversed.
Wallets need to be well-protected from hackers.
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Home Depot’s sales are improving, but it says consumers are still cautious about spending
Home Depot delivered solid Q3 2024 earnings, exceeding revenue and EPS expectations but reporting softer comparable sales growth.
The company generated $40.22 billion in revenue, up 7% year-over-year, surpassing estimates by 2.31%. Net income for the quarter came in at $3.6 billion, a 4% decline compared to the previous year, with EPS at $3.78, beating projections by 3.56%.
Key highlights include flat operating income of $5.4 billion, while operating expenses rose 9% to $8.0 billion. U.S. comparable sales fell by 1.2%, with global comparable sales declining by 1.3%. Operating cash flow for the quarter was $15.1 billion, reflecting an 8% YoY drop, and the profit margin stood at 9.1%. The company also benefited from the integration of its recently acquired SRS business.
CFO Richard McPhail said consumers are still deferring purchases as they wait for lower mortgage rates and borrowing costs and express caution about the economy. About 90% of the company’s do-it-yourself customers own their homes.
For FY 2024, Home Depot expects total sales to grow approximately 4%, with full-year EPS projected to decline by 2%. Comparable sales are forecasted to decrease between 2.5% and 3.0%, reflecting ongoing macroeconomic challenges.
📊 EDGE SCORE: We are giving our Edge members a front row seat as we build out the Edge Score Dashboard. This feature will be available for Edge+ members very soon.
Join today and be one of the first to get access:
Let us know what you think and if you’d like to see any additional information in the dashboard.
Here’s a look at Home Depot’s Edge Score - valuations are stretched especially when looking at the slowing growth projections over the next few years:
In Other News
In this section we'll be curating a selection of news headlines we think you'll find interesting. If a topic catches your eye, click the provided links to read more about it.
Spirit Airlines stock plunges 60% as company reportedly preps bankruptcy filing
Amazon debuts discount store with everything under $20 to take on Temu and Shein
Shopify stock skyrockets 21% on revenue beat, rosy holiday forecast
Mortgage demand stalls as financial markets digest Trump presidency
Cava Group Q3 Earnings and Revenues Beat Estimates, Stock Surges
Sea beats revenue estimates as Shopee turns profitable, shares jump
Rocket Lab stock surges 40% after company reports strong revenue growth, first Neutron deal
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The Second Half
With the CPI report in the books, focus shifts to the PPI report and retail sales data. There’s also several key earnings reports to watch.
Earnings Reports
There are still some major earnings this week. We will be watching Cisco, Disney, and Alibaba.
Here is the calendar of earnings releases scheduled for the rest of the week:
Source: Earnings Whisper
Economic Reports
With CPI data showing some concerns regarding inflation, focus now shifts to the PPI report tomorrow. There will also be the latest initial jobless claims data and retail sales numbers.
Here is the full calendar of events scheduled for the remainder of the week:
The Investor’s Edge Discord is the place to be!
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Thank you for reading this edition of the Mid-Week Wrap-Up.
Until next time investors!
Mark & Chris
The Investor’s Edge
Disclosure
This is not investing advice. It is very important that you do your own research and make investments based on your own personal circumstances, preferences, goals and risk tolerance.
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