Mid-Week Wrap-Up - June 25th, 2025

Can the market make new highs this week?

In partnership with

Good morning investors!

If this is your first time reading, welcome to The Investor’s Edge — a thriving community of over 24,000 subscribers striving to be better investors with an edge in the market.

Every Wednesday we publish “The Mid-Week Wrap-Up” — your ticket to being well informed and staying ahead in the investment game!

This report is designed to help investors of all skill levels break down important stories/topics within the stock market. And best of all, we cut through all of the BS and give you exactly what you need to know in easy to digest, bite sized pieces of content.

This article is designed to truly give you that EDGE in the day ahead!

Grab your afternoon pick me up and let’s dive in.

Market Talk

Markets are approaching all-time highs on the heels of the ceasefire news out of the Middle East, with all three major indexes surging to start the week.

3 Stories Moving the Market

These are some of the biggest stories so far this week that are having an influence on market action.

U.S. B-2 Strike on Iran Triggers Market Shock Before Trump Forces Ceasefire

Global markets were shaken early this week after U.S. B-2 stealth bombers, under direct order from President Trump, launched a surprise assault on Iran’s underground nuclear facilities. The strikes marked a dramatic escalation in the region, triggering limited retaliation from Iran and raising fears of a prolonged war. But by Tuesday, a ceasefire was in place, brokered through indirect diplomacy, halting further attacks from both sides. Markets rebounded, but the region remains tense with nuclear oversight now in question.

🔑 Key Points

  • U.S. leads strike: Trump authorized a fleet of B-2 bombers to hit Fordow and Natanz with 30,000-pound bunker-busters, crippling Iran’s enrichment capacity.

  • Iran retaliates lightly: Tehran launched 19 missiles at a U.S. base in Qatar but warned in advance; all but one were intercepted.

  • Ceasefire enforced: A truce was agreed by Tuesday morning, temporarily halting hostilities after days of strikes.

  • Markets react fast: Oil spiked 10% post-strike before fading quickly on ceasefire news; while stocks rose to near all-time highs following the truce.

  • Nuclear risk persists: Iran is now limiting IAEA access and vowing no negotiations under threat, keeping tensions unresolved.

👀 What You Need to Know

The ceasefire brought rapid relief to markets, but the underlying conflict remains unresolved. Markets are pricing in calm, but nuclear oversight gaps, ongoing missile threats, and unpredictability from all sides keep geopolitical risk high. For investors, this isn't over, and energy prices, defense equities, and global inflation expectations remain tightly tied to what happens next.

🔐 Edge Takeaway: The early-week surge in oil and defense stocks has cooled as the ceasefire took hold. Brent spiked above $77 before falling back to the mid-$60s, and defense names…upgrade to Edge+ to read the full Edge Alert.

Tesla’s Robotaxi Rollout Sparks Safety Probe as Waymo-Uber Expand in Atlanta

Tesla’s robotaxi pilot launched in Austin over the weekend but was quickly met with scrutiny after videos surfaced showing dangerous driving behavior. Federal regulators confirmed an active review is underway. Meanwhile, Waymo and Uber are now offering fully driverless rides in Atlanta, extending their reach as Tesla’s rollout remains tightly limited and supervised.

🔑 Key Points

  • Tesla Faces Scrutiny: NHTSA is reviewing incidents after Tesla robotaxis were seen braking erratically and driving the wrong way.

  • Pilot Is Restricted: Tesla’s vehicles run only in daylight with a human safety rider, and are limited to invite-only users.

  • Waymo-Uber Expand: Fully driverless Waymo rides are now live in Atlanta via the Uber app, covering a 65-square-mile area.

  • Tech Gap Persists: Waymo uses lidar, radar, and has no human monitor, while Tesla relies on vision-only systems and human backups.

  • Market Divergence: Tesla jumped 8% on Monday; Uber rose 7.5% Tuesday on investor optimism around Waymo expansion.

👀 What You Need to Know

This is a clear contrast in execution: Tesla is years behind its promises and still needs human monitors, while Waymo and Uber are now scaling truly autonomous rides across major cities, with Waymo logging over 10 million paid trips. Tesla’s rollout feels more like optics than a breakthrough, and with regulators watching closely, the pressure is on.

🔐 Edge Takeaway: Uber’s tie-in with Waymo may quietly become the real winner in the robotaxi race. While Tesla's rollout still requires a human babysitter and drew immediate regulatory heat, Uber is…upgrade to Edge+ to read the full Edge Alert.

📊 Edge Score: Uber’s Edge Score is 61, led by strong past performance and financial health. Future growth metrics are soft near term, and DCF shows modest downside, but Uber’s multi-pronged platform strategy could unlock long-term upside.

💪 CMG Strength: The CMG Strength Ratio just bounced off its lower band, printing a buy signal (green dot). This comes after several weeks of compression and a reset from the overbought levels seen in May.

Want access to these Edge Tools? Upgrade to Edge+ today!

Prompting to Problem-Solving

AI is already reshaping how top companies work across finance, operations, risk, marketing, and more.

But while the hype is everywhere, real business applications are just getting started.

This is your opportunity to go beyond ChatGPT and learn real practical use-cases for AI.

The AI for Business & Finance Certificate from Columbia Business School Exec Ed + Wall Street Prep helps you close that gap.

✅ Earn a certificate from a top business school
✅ Learn from a fantastic line-up of guest speakers from BlackRock, Morgan Stanley, OpenAI, and more
✅ Join live “virtual” office hours with Columbia Business School faculty

8 weeks. 100% online. No coding required.

👉 Save $300 with code SAVE300.

Powell Warns Congress That Tariffs Could Rekindle Inflation

Fed Chair Jerome Powell warned Congress that while tariffs might appear as a one-time shock, they carry serious risk of sparking persistent inflation, especially given inflation has been above target for four years. Powell noted the Fed has no modern precedent for tariffs of this scale, and said officials will be watching the June and July inflation prints closely before considering rate cuts. Despite pressure from Trump and Republican lawmakers to ease policy now, the Fed is holding steady, stressing that stability, not politics, guides its decisions.

🔑 Key Points

  • Tariffs pose inflation risk: Powell said tariffs could be a one-off event but warned they could just as easily create sticky inflation if expectations shift.

  • No historical guide: The Fed has no modern precedent for large tariffs during a period of elevated inflation, complicating its policy outlook.

  • Fed on Hold (for now): The Fed still sees cuts ahead in 2025, but won’t move until it sees how tariffs affect inflation this summer.

  • Political pressure mounts: Trump-aligned Republicans accused Powell of bias, but he held firm on the Fed’s independence and inflation mandate.

  • Key data ahead: June and July inflation reports will be crucial in determining whether the Fed cuts rates in September or waits longer.

👀 What You Need to Know

Powell made clear that tariffs could reignite inflation in ways that force the Fed to stay sidelined longer. Even with core inflation easing slightly, the central bank is holding rates steady until it sees how import taxes flow through to consumer prices. Markets may want cuts, and Trump’s allies are demanding them, but with the July 9 tariff deadline looming and summer inflation data on the way, the Fed is bracing for volatility, not rushing into accommodation.

🔐 Edge Takeaway: The inflation story isn’t over and markets are underestimating…upgrade to Edge+ to read the full Edge Alert.

📚 Edge-ucation: Why does the market care about interest rates so much?

Interest rates are one of the most powerful levers in the financial system, and the market reacts to every shift, pause, or pivot from the Fed for a reason.

Rates influence everything from corporate borrowing costs to equity valuations, consumer demand, and global capital flows. When the Fed raises or lowers rates, it changes the cost of money, the appetite for risk, and how investors discount future cash flows.

  • Cost of Capital: Higher rates make it more expensive for companies to borrow and invest, pressuring growth, margins, and valuations.

  • Discount Rates and Valuations: Stocks are priced based on future earnings—when rates rise, future profits get discounted more heavily, dragging down valuations.

  • Risk Appetite: Low rates drive investors into riskier assets like stocks; high rates pull money into bonds and cash, tightening liquidity.

  • Consumer Behavior: Higher interest rates slow spending on big-ticket items (like homes and cars), cooling economic growth.

  • Currency and Global Flows: Rising U.S. rates strengthen the dollar, impact exports, and attract foreign capital—reshaping global market dynamics.

In short, when rates move, everything moves; earnings, multiples, sentiment, and capital itself. That’s why the market is obsessed.

In Other News

In this section we'll be curating a selection of news headlines we think you'll find interesting. If a topic catches your eye, click the provided links to read more about it.

Unlock the Edge+ Experience

Like the content you have seen so far? Edge+ members not only get additional content in these recaps, but they also get expert market analysis straight to their inbox multiple times per week.

Upgrade Options:

Ultimate Edge - our latest addition to the Stock Investor’s Edge

  • Get access to all premium tiers with one subscription

Edge+

  • Comprehensive market insights and analysis delivered multiple times weekly.

  • Exclusive deep dives into earnings reports, stock performance, and macro trends.

  • Access to our expertly managed portfolios and live webinars.

  • Member-only Discord: Stay connected with the team and community in real-time.

Options Edge+

  • Weekly Options Edge Report: Top-tier options trade ideas, including covered calls, cash-secured puts, and spreads with detailed risk-reward analysis.

  • Options Education Hub: A growing library of primers and strategies to boost your confidence.

  • Live Trade Alerts: Never miss an opportunity to act on key trades.

  • Market Sentiment Analysis: Stay ahead with insights on volatility trends and strategy adjustments.

  • Member-Exclusive Discord: Connect with experts and like-minded traders in real-time.

Quick Picks — The Affordable Option

Still not sure if the Edge+ club is for you? We’ve launched Edge Quick Picks, a cost-effective tier that delivers actionable insights and recommendations at just $10 per month or $99 per year.

With Edge Quick Picks, you’ll get:

  • 5 stock or ETF picks each month: High-conviction ideas at current valuations.

  • Edge Scores: A snapshot ranking of each pick based on key metrics.

  • Exclusive Discord Room: Updates on picks and strategy throughout the month.

Our goal with Edge Quick Picks is to offer a streamlined, actionable option for investors who want high-quality recommendations without breaking the bank. We’re confident this new tier will help you build long-term wealth while gaining an edge in the market.

As we like to say, price is what you pay, value is what you get. Trust us when we say you’re not getting this much value for the price anywhere else on the Internet. Choose the tier that fits your goals and join the Edge community today!

The Second Half

All time highs are in reach as we await a key inflation report and earnings from Micron and Nike.

Earnings Reports

As the Q2 earnings season officially wraps up, there are still two major names on our coverage list left to report this week, Micron and Nike.

Here is the calendar of earnings releases scheduled for the rest of the week:

Source: Earnings Whisper

Economic Reports

All eyes will be on Friday’s PCE report to see if tariffs are hitting prices yet, or if inflation continues to trend to the Fed’s 2% target. While May’s numbers are expected to be muted, this report is still an important data point for the Fed and future interest rate decisions.

We also get initial jobless claims, GDP, pending home sales, and consumer sentiment data.

Here is the full calendar of events scheduled for the remainder of the week:

The Investor’s Edge Discord is the place to be!

Before you go, don’t forget to join our Discord server. Members this week got a first row seat to some great trades and a sneak-peek of our Edge Scoring Dashboard.

If you are only reading the newsletter, you are only getting a fraction of the benefits of being an Edge subscriber. Here’s what you’re missing in the Discord:

🗨️ Chat rooms: Connect with fellow investors, swap ideas, and engage in lively discussions about stocks and market trends—all while rubbing virtual elbows with both Mark and Chris.

🚨Trade Alerts: Get exclusive, behind-the-scenes access to our trades as they happen. It's like having a front-row seat to our investment decisions!

Join us on Discord and let's level up our investing game together. The future of trading awaits—and you're invited to be a part of it! 🌟

Thank you for reading this edition of the Mid-Week Wrap-Up.

Until next time investors!

Mark & Chris

The Investor’s Edge

Disclosure

This is not investing advice. It is very important that you do your own research and make investments based on your own personal circumstances, preferences, goals and risk tolerance.

Reply

or to participate.