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This report is designed to help investors of all skill levels break down important stories/topics within the stock market. And best of all, we cut through all of the BS and give you exactly what you need to know in easy to digest, bite sized pieces of content.
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Markets have cooled a bit this week on the tariff headlines and after making all-time highs last week, as investors look to book profits.
These are some of the biggest stories so far this week that are having an influence on market action.
President Trump has imposed a 50% tariff on copper imports and warned that new levies on semiconductors and pharmaceuticals are imminent. The move follows tariff threats to 14 major trading partners and rising pressure on BRICS nations like India and Brazil. Copper futures jumped 10% on the news, while allies scramble ahead of the new August 1 deadline.
🔑 Key Points
Copper Imports Targeted: A 50% tariff on copper sparked a 10% surge in U.S. futures, hitting sectors from EVs to defense.
Healthcare and Tech Next: Trump warned of 200% tariffs on drugs and new semiconductor duties, with details expected this week.
Tariff Rate Hits 90-Year High: Yale estimates the effective U.S. tariff rate has jumped to 17.6%—the highest since 1934.
Global Allies React: Japan, South Korea, and the EU are racing to secure trade concessions before the August deadline.
Revenue Rising Fast: The Treasury says $100B has already been collected, with $300B possible by year-end if measures continue.
👀 What You Need to Know
This marks a sharp escalation in Trump’s trade strategy, targeting not just traditional goods but strategic industries like chips and pharmaceuticals. Copper’s spike reflects real economic exposure, and retaliation risks are rising as allies face abrupt policy shifts. Markets may absorb some pressure near-term, but persistent trade instability could add inflation and complicate Q3 global growth. Investors should watch for framework deals or potential retaliation as deadlines approach.
🔐 Edge Takeaway: Global markets are showing uncanny resilience to Trump’s tariff blitz, but…upgrade to Edge+ to read the full Edge Alert.
Nvidia $NVDA ( ▲ 1.8% ) surged past a $4 trillion market cap on Wednesday, becoming the first public company in history to reach that valuation. Shares rose over 2%, driven by investor confidence in Nvidia’s position as the dominant supplier of AI computing hardware. The stock has climbed 74% off its April lows and now holds the largest weight in the S&P 500 at 7.3%. Despite chip curbs in China and rising competition, Nvidia’s growth trajectory remains firmly intact.
🔑 Key Points
Historic Milestone: Nvidia is now the world’s most valuable company, surpassing Apple and Microsoft by crossing the $4 trillion mark.
AI Hardware Backbone: Its dominance in AI chips, especially GPUs used to train large language models, has fueled over 69% revenue growth YoY.
China Risk Still Lingers: U.S. export restrictions could cost Nvidia $8 billion in sales, effectively shutting it out of the $50B China chip market.
Valuation Below Average: Despite its run, Nvidia trades at 32x forward earnings—below its 3-year average of 37x, suggesting it’s not overly frothy.
Market Influence Growing: With a 7.3% weight in the S&P 500, Nvidia’s moves increasingly drive the index, highlighting both its leadership and systemic risk.
👀 What You Need to Know
Nvidia’s climb to $4 trillion is about dominance in the infrastructure layer of AI. But investors should stay alert: while the valuation looks modest on a relative basis, growth expectations are sky-high, and the company is still navigating geopolitical landmines in China. With earnings due August 27, Wall Street will want proof that demand is holding strong and not simply frontloaded. As the S&P’s biggest stock, any Nvidia stumble could ripple far beyond semis.
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🔐 Edge Takeaway: Nvidia is executing at an elite level, with 39% YoY revenue growth, industry-leading margins, and dominant share in the AI chip market, but the stock is priced accordingly.
At 38.5 fwd EPS, 26.8x sales and 55x free cash flow, Nvidia trades well above historical and peer averages, leaving little room for error. While growth looks durable, driven by hyperscaler demand, new Blackwell chips, and expanding enterprise AI, investors are paying a steep premium for perfection.
We rate Nvidia a HOLD for now: a high-conviction core position, but not an ideal fresh entry at $163. Risks around China export bans and AI capex digestion could spark volatility, and with expectations being sky-high, there’s no room for error.
For long-term investors, pullbacks may offer better risk-reward to add exposure to this secular AI leader.
📊 Edge Score: Nvidia earns an Edge Score of 70, driven by perfect future growth (100/100), strong past performance (83/100), and robust financial health (72/100). While valuation is stretched, trading at 52.6x P/E, 42.8x EV/EBITDA, and 55.3x P/FCF, the company’s dominant ROE (106.9%) and $72B in free cash flow support premium pricing. Margins remain elite (51.7%) despite recent compression, and 3-year forward growth expectations exceed 30% across EPS, revenue, and ROIC. The DCF model flags –45% downside, suggesting the stock is priced for perfection, but Nvidia’s position at the center of the AI hardware cycle offers long-term structural upside.
💪 CMG Strength: The CMG Strength Ratio is now pressing toward its upper band, signaling a potential short-term exhaustion point. This surge in strength follows a clean breakout above the mean in mid-June and tracks closely with Nvidia’s vertical run to a $4 trillion market cap. While momentum remains strong, reaching this upper band has historically coincided with short-term pauses or reversals. Watch $158.42 and $153.09 as near-term support if strength begins to fade.
Meta $META ( ▲ 1.68% ) has hired Ruoming Pang, the head of Apple’s $AAPL ( ▲ 0.54% ) AI foundation model team, in a major coup for its new Superintelligence division. Pang’s defection comes amid growing internal struggles at Apple, which has delayed key AI features and reportedly failed to meet quality benchmarks. The hire adds to Meta’s aggressive push to dominate AI by recruiting from rivals like Google, OpenAI, and Anthropic.
🔑 Key Points
Big Name Hire: Ruoming Pang, Apple’s top AI model leader, has joined Meta's Superintelligence Lab with a reported eight-figure pay package.
Meta’s AI Offensive: The lab, run by former Scale CEO Alexandr Wang, is hiring aggressively to regain momentum after a tepid Llama rollout.
Apple Losing Ground: Siri upgrades are delayed again, and Apple may outsource to third-party models, an admission of internal AI limitations.
Zuckerberg’s $100M Bet: Meta is offering massive compensation to lure elite AI talent, with a broader goal of AI platform dominance.
Leadership Turmoil: Pang’s exit follows Apple’s COO retirement, adding to concerns about stability and direction inside Cupertino.
👀 What You Need to Know
This hire signals that Meta is out-executing Apple in AI where it counts: recruiting top researchers and building future infrastructure. For Apple, the back-to-back exits of its AI head and longtime COO Jeff Williams create a vacuum at a critical time. With Siri’s AI revamp stalled and Tim Cook now directly overseeing design, the company risks slipping further behind unless it can regain control of the AI narrative and deliver.
🔐 Edge Takeaway: In the battle of tech titans, Meta is emerging as the growth leader while Apple…upgrade to Edge+ to read the full Edge Alert.
📚 Edge-ucation: What Is Meta’s Superintelligence Lab and Why It Matters?
Meta’s “Superintelligence” division is its newly formed elite AI research unit focused on building frontier-level artificial general intelligence (AGI). Spearheaded by former Scale AI CEO Alexandr Wang and fueled by talent poached from OpenAI, Google DeepMind, and Apple, the lab’s goal is to leapfrog current LLM capabilities and compete directly with models like GPT-4 and Gemini.
AGI Ambitions: Meta’s Superintelligence team is tasked with developing future Llama models that can reason, plan, and learn autonomously—core traits of AGI.
Infrastructure Commitment: The company has committed billions in capex, including GPU infrastructure, to support model training and inference at scale.
Talent Arms Race: Recruiting top-tier researchers (e.g. Apple’s Ruoming Pang) signals Meta’s intent to lead, not follow, in the AI arms race.
Product Integration: Success in this space could dramatically improve Meta’s ad targeting, digital assistants, and developer platform, driving long-term margin expansion.
Meta sees AI as a platform shift on par with mobile. If its Superintelligence initiative succeeds, it could reshape not only Meta’s products but also how AI is monetized across the web.
In this section we'll be curating a selection of news headlines we think you'll find interesting. If a topic catches your eye, click the provided links to read more about it.
Meta Invests $3.5 Billion in World’s Largest Eye-Wear Maker in AI Glasses Push
Elon Musk's AI chatbot churns out antisemitic posts days after update
Starbucks China attracts bids at up to $10 billion valuation
Merck shells out $10 billion for Verona in bid to diversify beyond Keytruda
Exxon Sees $1.5 Billion Earnings Hit From Lower Oil, Gas Prices
CoreWeave to acquire Core Scientific in $9 billion all-stock deal
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It has been a week of little to no economic or earnings data, and that continues into the week end. The only things on the calendar are Delta earnings and initial jobless claims, both due out Thursday morning.
Delta reports earnings before the bell tomorrow morning and we will be watching closely for insights into demand and the state of the consumer. Other than that, it’s a quiet end to the week on the earnings front.
Here is the calendar of earnings releases scheduled for the rest of the week:
Source: Earnings Whisper
Initial jobless claims, the only economic report this week, will be released tomorrow morning. The labor market has been showing mixed signals so we will be watching to see what the latest data shows.
Here is the full calendar of events scheduled for the remainder of the week:
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Thank you for reading this edition of the Mid-Week Wrap-Up.
Until next time investors!
Mark & Chris
The Investor’s Edge
This is not investing advice. It is very important that you do your own research and make investments based on your own personal circumstances, preferences, goals and risk tolerance.
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