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Good morning investors!

If this is your first time reading, welcome to The Investor’s Edge — a thriving community of over 24,000 subscribers striving to be better investors with an edge in the market.

Every Wednesday we publish “The Mid-Week Wrap-Up” — your ticket to being well informed and staying ahead in the investment game!

This report is designed to help investors of all skill levels break down important stories/topics within the stock market. And best of all, we cut through all of the BS and give you exactly what you need to know in easy to digest, bite sized pieces of content.

This article is designed to truly give you that EDGE in the day ahead!

Grab your afternoon pick me up and let’s dive in.

Market Talk

The major indexes are making all-time highs on the heels on the US-Japan trade deal.

3 Stories Moving the Market

These are some of the biggest stories so far this week that are having an influence on market action.

Trump Secures Tariff Deal with Japan, Slashes Auto Rates and Claims $550B Investment

President Trump announced a wide-ranging trade agreement with Japan that includes a 15% reciprocal tariff and a reduction of U.S. auto duties from 25% to 15%. Japan pledged to invest $550 billion in the U.S., with Trump claiming America will “receive 90% of the profits.” The deal also covers cars, agriculture, and LNG.

🔑 Key Points

  • Tariffs Lowered to 15%: Trump cut U.S. auto duties from 25%, easing pressure on a sector that made up 28.3% of Japan’s U.S. exports.

  • $550B Investment Claim: Trump touted a $550B Japan-to-U.S. investment, but no formal deal or breakdown has been disclosed.

  • Auto Exports Collapsing: Japan’s auto exports to the U.S. fell 26.7% YoY in June after a 24.7% drop in May—timing that likely forced a deal.

  • Market Pops on Relief: Toyota gained 11%, Mazda 17%, and the Nikkei 225 jumped 3.5% as investors cheered the reduced tariff risk.

  • PM May Resign Soon: Despite claiming victory, Ishiba is expected to step down by August after his coalition lost its upper house majority.

👀 What You Need to Know

Trump secured a headline win with tariff relief and a giant investment number, but the substance remains unverified. No formal documents confirm the $550B figure, and Japan’s leadership instability raises risk around execution. The export crash likely forced Tokyo’s hand, but whether this deal has staying power is still unclear. Japanese markets rallied fast, especially in autos, but any stall in implementation or Ishiba’s resignation could trigger a reversal.

🔐 Edge Takeaway: Japan’s auto sector just bought itself a lifeline. The tariff rollback from 25% to 15% doesn’t restore full competitiveness, but it…upgrade to Edge+ to read the full Edge Takeaway.

Meta Raids Tech Giants for AI Talent

Team as of July 14th - new hires have been made since

Meta’s $META ( ▼ 1.19% ) AI ambitions have taken a sharp turn from internal scaling to external acquisition of talent. Over the last few months, Zuckerberg’s “Superintelligence” Lab has quietly hired dozens of elite researchers from rivals like Apple, DeepMind, and OpenAI. Many of these hires come with $100M+ pay packages and leadership roles. Meta’s new AI team now includes key minds behind Gemini, GPT-4, and Apple’s foundational model work, and it's clear the company is betting its next decade on AI.

🔑 Key Points

  • Apple Exodus: Ruoming Pang and multiple team members left Apple’s AI unit after Meta offered a $200M+ package to lead its foundational model push.

  • OpenAI Drain: At least 7 researchers, several tied to GPT-4, have exited OpenAI for Meta over the past two months.

  • DeepMind Talent: Meta has recruited Gemini and math reasoning experts from Google, aiming to boost its alignment and AGI capabilities.

  • Scale AI to Meta: Alexandr Wang now leads Meta’s Superintelligence Lab, joined by Nat Friedman and Daniel Gross in senior roles.

  • Massive War Chest: Meta is spending billions on AI infra, offering recruits full control over compute, team structure, and roadmap.

👀 What You Need to Know

Meta’s latest hires represent a real shift in where top-tier model talent wants to work. Apple’s foundation model efforts could stall as key architects leave, and OpenAI risks losing internal continuity on GPT-scale research. Meta now has a concentration of researchers with rare build-and-train experience. For investors, this deepens its AI moat not through product, but through people. Retention and execution now matter more than launch demos.

📊 Edge Score: Meta earns an Edge Score of 73, led by strong Past Performance, solid Financial Health, and a favorable Valuation). With a DCF value of $574 and AI investment accelerating, the valuation is a bit rich, but the company has executed well.

💪 CMG Strength: The indicator topped near its upper band in early June, marking a short-term exhaustion point that coincided with the local high just under $736. Since then, strength has steadily cooled and now sits below the mean, suggesting momentum is no longer driving price.

🔐 Edge Takeaway: Meta is deploying record capital into AI, but the market won’t…upgrade to Edge+ to read the full Edge Takeaway and get access to our Scoring Model and chart indicators.

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Oracle Lands Massive OpenAI Deal Amid Stargate Buildout Surge

OpenAI confirmed it will add 4.5 gigawatts of new data center capacity through Oracle as part of the $500B Stargate initiative. The deal stems from a previously undisclosed cloud contract that Oracle revealed in June, now confirmed to be with OpenAI and estimated at $30B in annual value. The partnership expands an already aggressive infrastructure push tied to AI and is expected to exceed Stargate’s original targets.

🔑 Key Points

  • $30B Cloud Deal Unveiled: OpenAI confirmed it is the customer behind Oracle’s massive $30B annual cloud contract filed in June.

  • 4.5 GW of Capacity Coming: New data centers under Stargate will run over 2M chips, equivalent to the energy needs of 4M homes.

  • SoftBank Not in This Deal: While part of Stargate overall, this specific Oracle deal reportedly excludes SoftBank’s funding.

  • Funding Still in Question: Analysts remain skeptical about the project’s financing; $100B was supposed to be “immediate.”

  • OpenAI’s Risky Bet: With just $10B in ARR, OpenAI’s $30B/year commitment raises eyebrows on sustainability and scale.

👀 What You Need to Know

This confirms OpenAI is going all-in on Oracle infrastructure, massively outspending its current revenue base to secure future compute power. For Oracle, it’s a reputational and financial win, catapulting its cloud ambitions and fueling a CapEx cycle now topping $25B/year. But the scale of this Stargate deployment, two Hoover Dams’ worth of power, underscores the intensity and risk of the AI arms race.

🔐 Edge Takeaway: Oracle’s $30B annual deal with OpenAI puts it at the center of the AI infrastructure race, but it also…upgrade to Edge+ to read the full Edge Takeaway.

📚 Edge-ucation: What is Stargate?

Stargate is a joint initiative between OpenAI, Oracle, and SoftBank to build the largest AI infrastructure network on earth. Announced in 2025, the project targets up to 10 gigawatts of capacity, far more than any existing cloud platform. The goal is to secure compute, energy, and land needed to train and run future AI models.

  • $500B Scope: Stargate’s total cost could hit half a trillion dollars, making it the boldest tech infrastructure bet in history.

  • Oracle’s Exposure: The initial 4.5 GW phase is being led by Oracle, which is fronting billions in capex and execution risk.

  • AI Supply Chain Play: The project aims to lock down power access, GPU supply, and real estate for long-term dominance in AI compute.

  • Demand Uncertainty: The economics only work if AI usage keeps pace—any demand slowdown could leave partners overbuilt and underpaid.

If Stargate succeeds, it could reshape the AI landscape and crown new cloud leaders; if it stumbles, it risks becoming the most expensive misread in tech infrastructure history.

In Other News

In this section we'll be curating a selection of news headlines we think you'll find interesting. If a topic catches your eye, click the provided links to read more about it.

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The Second Half

It’s been a quiet week so far but the next few days have a chance to shake things up and bring some volatility.

Earnings Reports

There are a number of major earnings remaining this week, including Alphabet and Tesla today after the bell. Here are the stocks we’ll be watching:

Here is the calendar of earnings releases scheduled for the rest of the week:

Source: Earnings Whisper

Economic Reports

Initial jobless claims, composite PMI and new home sales are scheduled to be released tomorrow morning.

Here is the full calendar of events scheduled for the remainder of the week:

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Thank you for reading this edition of the Mid-Week Wrap-Up.

Until next time investors!

Mark & Chris

The Investor’s Edge

Disclosure

This is not investing advice. It is very important that you do your own research and make investments based on your own personal circumstances, preferences, goals and risk tolerance.

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